← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut1.96+3.14vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy1.38+3.60vs Predicted
-
3Wesleyan University2.71-0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire1.52+0.99vs Predicted
-
5Amherst College1.69-0.42vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University1.25-0.35vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College1.50-2.90vs Predicted
-
9McGill University1.06-3.00vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.14University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
-
5.6Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
-
2.75Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
-
4.99University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
-
4.58Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
-
5.65Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.1Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.0McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
-
6.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rottier | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.8% |
| John McGlynn | 31.2% | 23.0% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Will Humphrey | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Johannes Raatz | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Jared Dunn | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 7.6% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 22.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.