← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Wesleyan University1.87+2.27vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College1.55+0.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Connecticut1.72-0.56vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.88vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University-0.15+0.78vs Predicted
-
8McGill University0.56-2.35vs Predicted
-
9Amherst College-0.64-1.48vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.27Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
-
3.21Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
-
3.85Middlebury College1.550.2%1st Place
-
3.44University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
-
4.12University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
-
6.78Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.65McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
-
7.52Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
-
7.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Baker | 21.3% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 19.6% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Strothe | 15.1% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Presti | 19.0% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William Dykes | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 21.4% | 24.9% | 20.5% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 24.8% | 41.4% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 26.2% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.