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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.55+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.72+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.35+1.22vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.03-1.07vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.15+1.72vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.87-2.78vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.56-1.34vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-1.84vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.64-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Middlebury College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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4.22University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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2.93Maine Maritime Academy2.030.3%1st Place
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6.72Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.22Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.66McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.52Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Strothe | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 14.2% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Dykes | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Hollister Poole | 25.1% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 24.0% | 21.4% |
| Brooke Baker | 21.6% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 17.8% | 28.0% | 29.0% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.