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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.35+3.20vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.87+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.72+0.55vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.03-1.05vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.56+0.52vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.55-3.17vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.15-1.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-1.83vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.64-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.47Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
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2.95Maine Maritime Academy2.030.3%1st Place
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5.52McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
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3.83Middlebury College1.550.1%1st Place
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6.81Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.51Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Dykes | 13.2% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Baker | 16.2% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Presti | 18.1% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hollister Poole | 26.0% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Strothe | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 26.5% | 19.6% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 25.9% | 29.8% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.