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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+1.93vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+7.38vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.66+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.46+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.74-3.57vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.54-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.33-0.46vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.27+0.49vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72-5.20vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.85-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Stanford University2.1929.1%1st Place
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4.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.3111.6%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.2%1st Place
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7.11Arizona State University0.664.0%1st Place
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5.41University of California at San Diego-0.089.4%1st Place
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8.05University of Washington0.463.4%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Los Angeles1.486.8%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.7414.5%1st Place
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7.29Western Washington University0.545.0%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Berkeley-0.332.2%1st Place
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11.49San Diego State University-1.270.9%1st Place
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6.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.725.2%1st Place
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6.53University of Southern California0.856.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 29.1% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 25.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Zackery Martin | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| David Alexander | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Fiona Wu | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 12.4% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 51.4% |
| Ryan Milne | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Marlo Bozza | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.