Race 4B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hollister Poole 24.7% 21.3% 17.2% 13.9% 12.3% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Brooke Baker 16.7% 21.0% 17.9% 17.1% 10.7% 9.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Alexander Strothe 14.8% 15.2% 15.1% 15.1% 16.9% 12.5% 8.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Thomas Presti 18.7% 17.7% 18.3% 15.5% 13.8% 9.3% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Sarah Hyman 2.9% 2.6% 4.7% 6.3% 8.1% 11.4% 18.8% 24.0% 21.2%
Oriane Longerstaey 6.4% 5.1% 8.2% 9.2% 11.5% 19.5% 20.4% 14.2% 5.5%
William Dykes 11.6% 12.5% 13.3% 16.5% 17.2% 14.7% 9.7% 3.5% 1.0%
Francis Dougherty 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 4.1% 5.3% 9.3% 16.6% 27.8% 29.5%
Rebecca Uttormark 2.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 4.2% 7.4% 13.2% 24.6% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.