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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.55+2.84vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.87+1.46vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.72-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.91vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.56-0.42vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-0.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-1.81vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.64-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Middlebury College1.550.2%1st Place
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3.46Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.05Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
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4.09University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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5.58McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
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6.83Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.51Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Strothe | 15.5% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Baker | 16.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Hollister Poole | 24.5% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 18.9% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| William Dykes | 12.2% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hyman | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 22.8% | 25.6% | 20.1% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 25.9% | 30.5% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 24.5% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.