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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.87+2.28vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.55+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.35+1.19vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.03-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72-1.53vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.15+0.78vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.56-1.35vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-2.82vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.64-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.02Middlebury College1.550.1%1st Place
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4.19University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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2.93Maine Maritime Academy2.030.3%1st Place
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3.47University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
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6.78Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.65McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.5Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Baker | 20.6% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Strothe | 10.1% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| William Dykes | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Hollister Poole | 25.1% | 22.0% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 19.9% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 24.7% | 20.8% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.6% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 17.7% | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 24.2% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.