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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Brooke Baker 20.6% 18.0% 18.4% 18.3% 11.4% 8.4% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Alexander Strothe 10.1% 16.2% 16.3% 17.3% 16.2% 12.5% 7.0% 3.6% 0.8%
William Dykes 12.3% 12.0% 13.9% 14.5% 18.8% 15.1% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8%
Hollister Poole 25.1% 22.0% 19.3% 14.6% 10.1% 6.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Thomas Presti 19.9% 18.7% 15.1% 15.5% 13.5% 9.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.4%
Sarah Hyman 2.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 7.4% 12.0% 20.9% 24.7% 20.8%
Oriane Longerstaey 5.2% 5.6% 7.1% 8.7% 13.0% 21.2% 19.7% 12.9% 6.6%
Francis Dougherty 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.7% 5.8% 8.2% 17.7% 27.1% 29.8%
Rebecca Uttormark 2.0% 1.4% 3.1% 3.2% 3.8% 7.2% 14.4% 24.2% 40.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.