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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander Strothe 15.3% 13.5% 14.8% 18.3% 15.0% 12.5% 8.1% 2.2% 0.3%
William Dykes 8.8% 12.4% 14.9% 15.8% 17.8% 15.6% 8.7% 4.2% 1.8%
Hollister Poole 23.3% 21.4% 17.9% 16.3% 11.2% 6.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Brooke Baker 21.2% 19.5% 18.9% 16.1% 12.4% 7.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Thomas Presti 18.4% 20.9% 15.9% 14.4% 12.8% 10.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Francis Dougherty 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 9.2% 17.2% 26.3% 30.2%
Sarah Hyman 3.0% 3.2% 2.6% 4.4% 8.2% 11.7% 21.5% 25.2% 20.2%
Oriane Longerstaey 6.1% 5.5% 8.6% 7.9% 13.4% 19.5% 18.3% 15.0% 5.7%
Rebecca Uttormark 1.9% 1.5% 3.3% 2.6% 3.5% 6.9% 15.6% 23.5% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.