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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.55+2.87vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.35+2.35vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.04vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.87-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72-1.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40+1.19vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-0.20vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.56-4.42vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.64-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Middlebury College1.550.2%1st Place
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4.35University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.04Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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3.2Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.8Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.58McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
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7.52Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Strothe | 15.3% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| William Dykes | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Hollister Poole | 23.3% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 21.2% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 18.4% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 26.3% | 30.2% |
| Sarah Hyman | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 21.5% | 25.2% | 20.2% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 5.7% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 15.6% | 23.5% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.