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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.55+2.86vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University-0.15+4.98vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.87+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.72-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.90vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy2.03-3.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40+0.16vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.56-4.38vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.64-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Middlebury College1.550.1%1st Place
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6.98Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.33Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
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4.1University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.0Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.62McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
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7.51Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Strothe | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 21.1% | 25.2% | 23.2% |
| Brooke Baker | 19.1% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 17.9% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Dykes | 12.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Hollister Poole | 23.6% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 29.2% | 27.2% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.