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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander Strothe 14.6% 13.9% 15.1% 18.2% 15.8% 13.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Sarah Hyman 2.1% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 7.8% 11.6% 21.1% 25.2% 23.2%
Brooke Baker 19.1% 19.6% 18.5% 15.4% 12.7% 10.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Thomas Presti 17.9% 18.1% 18.3% 16.5% 13.7% 9.3% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%
William Dykes 12.7% 15.1% 13.6% 15.7% 14.3% 14.8% 8.4% 4.2% 1.2%
Hollister Poole 23.6% 21.3% 19.2% 15.2% 12.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Francis Dougherty 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 2.5% 5.7% 10.3% 17.3% 29.2% 27.2%
Oriane Longerstaey 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 10.2% 13.4% 17.7% 20.7% 13.0% 6.9%
Rebecca Uttormark 1.8% 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 4.6% 7.1% 15.8% 23.2% 40.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.