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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.87+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.35+2.36vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.06vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.55-0.26vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.56+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.72-2.49vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.64-0.44vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-2.86vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.15-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.36University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.06Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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3.74Middlebury College1.550.2%1st Place
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5.51McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
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7.56Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.8Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Baker | 20.8% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Dykes | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Hollister Poole | 24.3% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Strothe | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 16.9% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 24.2% | 42.5% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 19.3% | 25.7% | 29.3% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 27.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.