← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut1.72+2.53vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Wesleyan University1.87+0.29vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College1.55-0.23vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.56+0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire1.35-1.83vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College-0.64-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-2.84vs Predicted
-
11Brandeis University-0.15-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.53University of Connecticut1.720.2%1st Place
-
3.21Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
-
3.29Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
-
3.77Middlebury College1.550.2%1st Place
-
5.5McGill University0.560.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
-
7.57Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
-
7.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.79Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Presti | 18.2% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 19.8% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 21.2% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Strothe | 15.9% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 6.2% |
| William Dykes | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 23.9% | 42.9% |
| Francis Dougherty | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 19.5% | 25.8% | 29.4% |
| Sarah Hyman | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 26.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.