Race 11B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hollister Poole 23.9% 20.3% 19.1% 15.6% 10.9% 6.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Oriane Longerstaey 4.0% 4.2% 6.9% 11.4% 11.9% 18.9% 20.6% 15.4% 6.7%
Alexander Strothe 13.6% 16.2% 13.9% 16.6% 16.1% 13.3% 7.0% 3.0% 0.3%
Brooke Baker 21.6% 18.1% 20.2% 16.1% 11.8% 8.0% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3%
William Dykes 13.2% 15.5% 14.1% 12.4% 17.0% 14.0% 8.3% 4.5% 1.0%
Thomas Presti 16.9% 17.3% 17.4% 16.6% 16.1% 9.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Rebecca Uttormark 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 3.2% 7.5% 14.0% 23.8% 42.1%
Francis Dougherty 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.4% 6.2% 9.9% 18.6% 24.6% 29.4%
Sarah Hyman 2.7% 3.6% 3.3% 4.6% 6.8% 12.3% 20.8% 25.8% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.