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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.88vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+8.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+3.25vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.35+6.05vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+2.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90+1.98vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-1.75vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.80+4.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.37vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-4.86vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.14+3.26vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-4.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-1.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+0.39vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.03-7.45vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.34+0.13vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.85-5.08vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.10-7.07vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.39-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.26Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.26Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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7.12Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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14.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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16.13McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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10.93Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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18.39Wesleyan University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Axel Sly | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian White | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| David Larson | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Olson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 3.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Britton | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 3.6% |
| James Barry | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 41.0% | 10.4% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Walsh | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 9.2% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.