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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.73+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+4.79vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.35+5.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03+1.52vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.44-0.88vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+0.97vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+1.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+3.30vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.80+0.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-7.92vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.85-1.92vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.14-0.94vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.39+2.42vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.90-8.96vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.10-7.04vs Predicted
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19McGill University0.34-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.12Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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14.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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12.38Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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5.08Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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14.06Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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18.42Wesleyan University-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.96Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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15.98McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian White | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Axel Sly | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Britton | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 3.4% |
| John Cappetta | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Evan Olson | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 3.0% |
| Catherine Walsh | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 80.6% |
| James Moody | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 38.6% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.