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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.36vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles2.21+2.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley2.60+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis2.13+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.83-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California3.58-4.29vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.74-3.32vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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3.95Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.68Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 18.6% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Hester | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Mark Anders | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 22.4% |
| Cody Shevitz | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 27.6% |
| Jack Porter | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Vetter | 19.6% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Soper | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.