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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.35+8.21vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+3.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.90vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+0.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70-1.73vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.03-0.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.10+1.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-2.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-5.83vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.80+0.42vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-3.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.85-3.21vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-1.76vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.34-0.88vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.14-3.74vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.39-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.78Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.87Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.17Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.42Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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14.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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16.12McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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14.26Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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18.38Wesleyan University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian White | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| James Moody | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Britton | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Karl Ryder | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 2.6% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 15.8% | 39.5% | 12.3% |
| Evan Olson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 3.8% |
| Catherine Walsh | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.