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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.35+9.11vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.94vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+3.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+3.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+0.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03+1.51vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+3.24vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23-0.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+2.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-2.06vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.10+0.07vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.14+2.50vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-8.01vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-7.17vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.80-3.01vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-4.21vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.34-0.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-3.72vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.39-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.11University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.07Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.07Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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14.5Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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4.99Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.99Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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16.1McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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14.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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18.37Wesleyan University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian White | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Britton | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| James Moody | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Evan Olson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 2.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 14.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 16.3% | 37.3% | 12.6% |
| Karl Ryder | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 3.8% |
| Catherine Walsh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.