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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+1.57vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.00+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.53+2.80vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.09+0.76vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.27+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.84+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46-1.51vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-1.75vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.06vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Jacksonville University1.7040.0%1st Place
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3.57Jacksonville University0.8418.4%1st Place
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5.41Eckerd College-0.007.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Miami-0.534.8%1st Place
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5.76Rollins College0.096.0%1st Place
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6.09Florida State University-0.275.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Florida-1.844.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Central Florida-0.464.5%1st Place
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7.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.724.2%1st Place
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8.94Embry-Riddle University-1.511.2%1st Place
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6.34University of South Florida-0.314.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 40.0% | 28.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 18.4% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Marco Distel | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 43.4% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.