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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.33vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+1.59vs Predicted
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3Florida State University-0.27+3.22vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.00+1.51vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.09+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.53+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.46-0.63vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.84-1.79vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.17vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Jacksonville University1.7037.8%1st Place
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3.59Jacksonville University0.8417.2%1st Place
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6.22Florida State University-0.275.6%1st Place
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5.51Eckerd College-0.007.4%1st Place
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5.64Rollins College0.096.6%1st Place
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6.83University of Miami-0.534.5%1st Place
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6.37University of Central Florida-0.466.9%1st Place
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7.34Florida Institute of Technology-0.723.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Florida-1.843.7%1st Place
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8.83Embry-Riddle University-1.511.4%1st Place
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6.13University of South Florida-0.315.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 37.8% | 26.9% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.2% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| Marco Distel | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 41.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.