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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+2.69vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.00+3.49vs Predicted
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3Florida State University-0.27+3.29vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.09+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.53+1.78vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70-3.72vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.46-0.47vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-0.89vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.51-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.84-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Jacksonville University0.8415.3%1st Place
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5.49Eckerd College-0.006.5%1st Place
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6.29Florida State University-0.275.0%1st Place
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5.71Rollins College0.096.7%1st Place
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6.78University of Miami-0.534.2%1st Place
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2.28Jacksonville University1.7040.9%1st Place
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6.53University of Central Florida-0.465.5%1st Place
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7.11Florida Institute of Technology-0.723.6%1st Place
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8.92Embry-Riddle University-1.511.8%1st Place
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7.03University of Florida-1.844.5%1st Place
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6.16University of South Florida-0.316.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.3% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 40.9% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 43.4% |
| Marco Distel | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.