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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.73+4.15vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+5.63vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+3.80vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.97vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90+1.87vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03+0.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.35+0.72vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.10+0.81vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-1.09vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.34+4.30vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.14+0.82vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.85-2.14vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.44-8.95vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-1.97vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.80-5.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-3.50vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.39-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.8Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.17Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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16.3McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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13.82Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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6.05Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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14.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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11.79Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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14.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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18.33Wesleyan University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian White | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 38.6% | 11.7% |
| Evan Olson | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Axel Sly | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 2.4% |
| John Cappetta | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 4.6% |
| Catherine Walsh | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.