← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.70+1.31vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.84+1.60vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.09+2.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami-0.53+2.67vs Predicted
-
5University of Central Florida-0.46+1.39vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College-0.00-0.53vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University-0.27-0.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-1.84-0.89vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-1.77vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida-0.31-3.91vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.31Jacksonville University1.7039.1%1st Place
-
3.6Jacksonville University0.8416.4%1st Place
-
5.85Rollins College0.095.3%1st Place
-
6.67University of Miami-0.535.5%1st Place
-
6.39University of Central Florida-0.464.7%1st Place
-
5.47Eckerd College-0.008.1%1st Place
-
6.13Florida State University-0.276.2%1st Place
-
7.11University of Florida-1.843.9%1st Place
-
7.23Florida Institute of Technology-0.724.0%1st Place
-
6.09University of South Florida-0.315.3%1st Place
-
9.14Embry-Riddle University-1.671.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 39.1% | 24.3% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.4% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Danielle Ketner | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Marco Distel | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 12.2% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.