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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.43vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+3.28vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+3.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+1.11vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+1.94vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.26vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.10+3.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.17vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+0.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-2.21vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80+0.86vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.35-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-5.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+0.18vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.85-3.37vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.14-2.08vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.58vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.34-1.90vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.39-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.11Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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5.11Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.94Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.91Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.86Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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14.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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13.92Maine Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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14.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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16.1McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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18.33Wesleyan University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| James Moody | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian White | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Evan Olson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 3.3% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 32.2% | 12.5% |
| Catherine Walsh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.