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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+2.62vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+0.31vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+4.23vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.53+2.74vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.09+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-0.46+0.45vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.00-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.84-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.31-2.89vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.27-3.77vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Jacksonville University0.8417.5%1st Place
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2.31Jacksonville University1.7038.5%1st Place
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7.23Florida Institute of Technology-0.723.5%1st Place
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6.74University of Miami-0.533.8%1st Place
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5.73Rollins College0.097.3%1st Place
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6.45University of Central Florida-0.465.3%1st Place
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5.41Eckerd College-0.008.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Florida-1.843.8%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida-0.315.9%1st Place
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6.23Florida State University-0.274.7%1st Place
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9.16Embry-Riddle University-1.671.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.5% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 38.5% | 26.5% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Marco Distel | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 10.2% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.