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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+2.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+6.41vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.79vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36+5.25vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.06+1.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27-0.12vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.72+3.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13-2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.93+0.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.52-2.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-4.73vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-4.76vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.31-0.94vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.93vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56-3.97vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.42-1.69vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.29-2.25vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-3.36-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.77Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.520.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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13.06Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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13.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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15.31McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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15.75Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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18.88Wesleyan University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 20.5% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 12.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Queisser | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Franquet | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 32.6% | 1.2% |
| Steven Bell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 37.1% | 1.9% |
| Jules Beman | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 96.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.