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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.30vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.53+3.74vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.09+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46+1.48vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.27+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.84+0.07vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-4.37vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.00-3.55vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.31-3.86vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Jacksonville University1.7038.0%1st Place
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7.26Florida Institute of Technology-0.723.6%1st Place
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6.74University of Miami-0.534.4%1st Place
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5.6Rollins College0.097.3%1st Place
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6.48University of Central Florida-0.465.8%1st Place
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6.14Florida State University-0.275.4%1st Place
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7.07University of Florida-1.844.0%1st Place
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3.63Jacksonville University0.8417.4%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College-0.007.5%1st Place
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6.14University of South Florida-0.315.5%1st Place
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9.18Embry-Riddle University-1.670.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 38.0% | 25.9% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% |
| Jackson McGeough | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Marco Distel | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 10.3% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.4% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.