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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+1.66vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.09+2.70vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.00+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46+1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.84+1.03vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.27-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.31-1.76vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-1.56vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.53-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Jacksonville University1.7041.1%1st Place
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3.66Jacksonville University0.8417.4%1st Place
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5.7Rollins College0.096.0%1st Place
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5.4Eckerd College-0.008.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Central Florida-0.463.9%1st Place
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7.03University of Florida-1.844.5%1st Place
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6.22Florida State University-0.274.5%1st Place
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6.24University of South Florida-0.315.2%1st Place
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7.44Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.8%1st Place
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8.85Embry-Riddle University-1.511.9%1st Place
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6.77University of Miami-0.534.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 41.1% | 24.3% | 16.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.4% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Marco Distel | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 11.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| William Mullray | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 41.9% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.