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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+2.60vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+0.32vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.09+2.78vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.00+1.41vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.84+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.53-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.31-2.77vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.36vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-0.27-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Jacksonville University0.8417.6%1st Place
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2.32Jacksonville University1.7038.5%1st Place
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5.78Rollins College0.096.8%1st Place
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5.41Eckerd College-0.007.1%1st Place
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7.49Florida Institute of Technology-0.883.5%1st Place
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7.11University of Florida-1.843.8%1st Place
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6.85University of Miami-0.534.7%1st Place
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6.45University of Central Florida-0.464.8%1st Place
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6.23University of South Florida-0.315.2%1st Place
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8.64Embry-Riddle University-1.512.1%1st Place
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6.12Florida State University-0.275.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.6% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 38.5% | 25.5% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| William Mullray | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| Marco Distel | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 8.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 38.8% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.