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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+2.80vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.06+4.66vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+5.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+3.02vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.64vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57+2.31vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36+2.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56+4.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.36vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.72+1.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.52-2.40vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-5.38vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.93-2.36vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.27-7.97vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.31-2.20vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-2.96vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.29-1.38vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.42-2.56vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-3.36-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.66Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.23Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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8.6Boston University2.520.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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6.03Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.8Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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13.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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15.62Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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15.44McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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18.88Wesleyan University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 21.3% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Queisser | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 0.1% |
| Steven Bell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 38.2% | 1.9% |
| Will Franquet | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 20.6% | 32.7% | 1.2% |
| Jules Beman | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 96.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.