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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.32vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.53+3.71vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+2.43vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.00+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.84+1.07vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.27-0.88vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.09-2.28vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.51-0.14vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Jacksonville University1.7038.6%1st Place
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3.61Jacksonville University0.8416.7%1st Place
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6.71University of Miami-0.534.9%1st Place
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6.43University of Central Florida-0.464.5%1st Place
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5.48Eckerd College-0.008.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Florida-1.843.6%1st Place
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6.12Florida State University-0.275.7%1st Place
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5.72Rollins College0.097.1%1st Place
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8.86Embry-Riddle University-1.511.4%1st Place
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7.43Florida Institute of Technology-0.883.8%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida-0.315.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 38.6% | 25.9% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.7% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Marco Distel | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Jackson McGeough | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 42.4% |
| William Mullray | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 15.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.