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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.00+2.20vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70-1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.64-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Purdue University-1.008.8%1st Place
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2.12Northwestern University0.1632.8%1st Place
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1.86University of Wisconsin0.7043.5%1st Place
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2.82University of Michigan-0.6414.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellie Keane | 8.8% | 14.6% | 24.2% | 52.4% |
| Grace Bray | 32.8% | 33.2% | 23.8% | 10.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 43.5% | 33.1% | 17.2% | 6.2% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 14.9% | 19.1% | 34.8% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.