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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.58+2.73vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.74+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.60+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.21+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.65vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.50-3.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis2.13-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.83-3.50vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.74Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Los Angeles2.210.1%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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3.96Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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5.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Vetter | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Cody Shevitz | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| Zachary Hester | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Mark Anders | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 22.5% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Nick Dugdale | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 26.6% |
| Jack Porter | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Patrick Soper | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.