← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+2.84vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.56+6.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.93+7.83vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.57+4.41vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.95+2.22vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.52+2.51vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56+5.16vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.36+1.37vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.06-2.45vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.62-1.86vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-4.21vs Predicted
-
12McGill University0.42+3.58vs Predicted
-
13Bates College1.31-0.26vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-0.76vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.72-3.59vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.29-0.39vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.27-11.05vs Predicted
-
18Boston University3.13-11.69vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University-3.36-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.84Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
-
8.46Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
10.83University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
-
8.41Tufts University2.570.0%1st Place
-
7.22University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
8.51Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
-
12.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.0%1st Place
-
9.37Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
6.55Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.14Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
-
6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
15.58McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
-
12.74Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
-
15.61Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
5.95Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.31Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
18.88Wesleyan University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 22.0% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Franquet | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 21.7% | 33.0% | 1.7% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 0.3% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Steven Bell | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 37.7% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jules Beman | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.