← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+2.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.95+5.07vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.06+3.66vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.52+4.65vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.27+1.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.13+0.39vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.56+1.48vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.62+0.43vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan1.93+1.58vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56+2.04vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-4.23vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+1.50vs Predicted
-
13McGill University0.42+2.23vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.36-4.73vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.29+0.48vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.57-7.70vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.72-5.51vs Predicted
-
18Bates College1.31-5.08vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University-3.36-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
-
7.07University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
6.66Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.65Boston University2.520.0%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.39Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.48Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
8.43Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
-
10.58University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.0%1st Place
-
6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
13.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
-
15.23McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
-
9.27Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
15.48Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
8.3Tufts University2.570.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
-
12.92Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
-
18.88Wesleyan University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 22.9% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 0.3% |
| Will Franquet | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 24.7% | 30.4% | 1.3% |
| Jesse Thomas | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Bell | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 39.1% | 2.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 6.8% | 0.2% |
| Jules Beman | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 96.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.