Race 3A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 9.8% 9.7% 10.0% 8.8% 10.3% 8.7% 9.4% 8.4% 7.4% 6.8% 6.6% 2.8% 1.1%
Tanner Kelly 14.1% 13.4% 13.2% 13.3% 11.0% 10.2% 8.2% 5.8% 4.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Stewart Gurnell 10.0% 11.1% 9.9% 9.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 8.9% 8.2% 6.9% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Adam Larson 19.0% 14.6% 15.2% 13.2% 10.5% 7.6% 6.7% 5.8% 3.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 8.2% 11.0% 10.1% 8.5% 8.7% 9.4% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.8%
Joshua Almany 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 5.5% 4.9% 5.3% 7.9% 9.2% 10.8% 18.1% 21.7%
Brian Fox 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.2% 9.3% 8.3% 8.8% 7.6% 7.5% 4.4% 1.3%
matthew Monts 8.6% 10.1% 8.6% 11.3% 10.2% 8.7% 9.8% 8.8% 7.8% 7.0% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8%
Laura Smith 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.2% 7.7% 8.9% 10.3% 12.7% 14.4% 12.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.4% 7.3% 7.1% 6.8% 6.6% 9.8% 10.1% 10.1% 9.0% 9.0% 8.2% 6.2% 2.6%
Kennedy Jones 3.1% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 4.7% 4.8% 6.6% 7.6% 7.9% 10.1% 11.3% 15.7% 17.9%
Jasper Waldman 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 4.8% 5.7% 5.7% 6.4% 9.0% 9.7% 11.0% 12.6% 11.4% 10.9%
Parker Younger 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 10.4% 11.2% 16.4% 27.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.