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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+2.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.47+6.65vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+6.11vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+2.16vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+1.98vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+2.24vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+1.68vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.06-1.35vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.52-0.68vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-4.33vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.93-0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.72-0.30vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.57-4.96vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.31-1.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56-3.16vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-3.02vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.42-1.79vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.29-2.35vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-3.36-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.16Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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6.65Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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12.93Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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12.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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15.21McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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15.65Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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18.87Wesleyan University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 22.1% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Swanson | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Livernois | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Queisser | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Franquet | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 32.6% | 1.3% |
| Steven Bell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 37.0% | 1.9% |
| Jules Beman | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 96.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.