Race 4A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 9.7% 10.3% 8.9% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 8.3% 8.1% 7.0% 4.5% 2.5% 1.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.2% 7.7% 7.8% 7.3% 7.9% 8.3% 9.3% 9.6% 9.8% 9.2% 7.0% 6.4% 3.5%
Connor Mraz 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 9.6% 9.8% 10.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.2% 7.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1%
Valerio Palamara 8.2% 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.6% 9.0% 9.7% 10.0% 7.6% 8.2% 6.5% 3.2% 2.0%
Adam Larson 18.3% 14.5% 14.1% 13.2% 11.1% 8.5% 7.9% 4.5% 4.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
matthew Monts 8.4% 8.8% 10.4% 10.9% 9.0% 9.9% 9.2% 9.6% 7.8% 6.8% 4.5% 3.1% 1.5%
Tanner Kelly 15.8% 14.4% 13.1% 11.8% 10.7% 10.0% 7.5% 6.2% 4.7% 2.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Brian Fox 8.3% 7.5% 9.3% 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.6% 7.3% 7.7% 4.2% 2.4%
Kennedy Jones 3.5% 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 6.2% 6.8% 7.8% 10.6% 13.0% 16.8% 14.5%
Laura Smith 3.6% 4.3% 4.9% 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.4% 8.0% 8.6% 10.9% 11.5% 12.8% 13.3%
Parker Younger 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 7.4% 8.1% 13.0% 17.0% 29.3%
Joshua Almany 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 7.2% 9.2% 12.6% 17.2% 21.6%
Jasper Waldman 3.8% 4.5% 4.8% 4.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.3% 10.1% 10.8% 12.1% 12.7% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.