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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+5.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.35vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+0.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+1.74vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.06+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+1.64vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.47+0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56+2.76vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.52-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.93-0.34vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.29+3.87vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36-4.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.57-5.65vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-2.08vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.42-0.73vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.72-5.65vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.31-5.15vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-3.36-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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3.7Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.66Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.1%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.470.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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15.87Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.79Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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15.27McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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12.85Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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18.88Wesleyan University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 23.8% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Livernois | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Swanson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Bell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 20.8% | 40.0% | 2.2% |
| Jesse Thomas | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Franquet | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 22.5% | 31.2% | 0.6% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 0.1% |
| Jules Beman | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 96.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.