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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.28+1.75vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.42vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.42+3.09vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Florida0.96-0.03vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38-2.80vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.34-0.65vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.51-1.53vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.24-9.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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2.68University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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4.75University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.09The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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6.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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6.2North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.35Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.47Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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2.94Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 28.7% | 27.5% | 22.1% | 13.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 28.0% | 23.1% | 21.3% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 11.4% |
| Cole Barney | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| David Rogers | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| William Duncan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 25.2% | 36.9% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 41.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 22.8% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.