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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+1.66vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+0.45vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+0.14vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.28-0.43vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.42+2.18vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-0.56vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Florida0.96-1.82vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.51-1.49vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.34-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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2.45College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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3.14Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
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6.44Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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8.18The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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6.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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6.19North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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9.51Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.25Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 25.6% | 26.7% | 22.1% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 33.0% | 25.5% | 19.7% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 19.0% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 12.6% |
| Cole Barney | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| David Rogers | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 5.0% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 45.1% |
| William Duncan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 28.3% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.