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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+0.63vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+0.13vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.46vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.51+4.52vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.28-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Florida0.96-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-2.48vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.42-1.83vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.34-1.70vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.38-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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2.63University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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3.13Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
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6.46Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.52Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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6.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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8.17The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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9.3Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.17North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 29.6% | 26.4% | 22.7% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 28.7% | 24.3% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 19.1% | 20.4% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 23.9% | 43.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Cole Barney | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 12.3% |
| William Duncan | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 27.1% | 34.8% |
| David Rogers | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.