Race 10A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 10.0% 10.4% 10.0% 9.3% 8.9% 10.4% 9.2% 8.6% 7.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0%
Stewart Gurnell 8.6% 9.6% 10.3% 8.8% 10.7% 9.6% 9.6% 9.8% 7.0% 7.0% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5%
Brian Fox 8.0% 7.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 9.5% 8.7% 9.3% 8.3% 6.5% 4.0% 2.5%
Tanner Kelly 14.5% 14.4% 12.0% 13.9% 11.1% 8.9% 7.7% 6.3% 4.9% 2.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Adam Larson 17.0% 16.7% 14.0% 13.2% 12.2% 8.9% 7.7% 4.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 9.3% 8.4% 9.0% 9.0% 8.1% 10.2% 8.9% 9.2% 9.2% 7.2% 5.6% 3.5% 2.1%
matthew Monts 10.2% 9.0% 9.3% 9.7% 10.1% 9.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.1% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1%
Parker Younger 2.0% 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 2.5% 3.5% 4.3% 5.9% 7.6% 8.8% 11.7% 17.9% 27.4%
Joshua Almany 2.1% 3.0% 3.8% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 6.3% 6.0% 7.5% 9.4% 11.9% 16.4% 23.0%
Laura Smith 3.5% 3.1% 4.0% 5.7% 5.2% 5.6% 7.1% 7.6% 9.6% 10.3% 12.6% 13.1% 12.6%
Jasper Waldman 3.5% 4.2% 4.6% 4.8% 5.9% 5.5% 6.8% 8.1% 8.8% 11.3% 12.8% 12.8% 10.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.6% 8.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.3% 9.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.2% 9.4% 8.8% 5.9% 2.4%
Kennedy Jones 3.8% 2.9% 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 5.6% 5.9% 7.3% 8.0% 9.9% 11.9% 17.1% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.