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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+1.46vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.24+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49-0.25vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.42vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.28-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.61vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.42+1.00vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.51+1.55vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38-2.67vs Predicted
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10University of Florida0.96-2.97vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.34-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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2.99Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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6.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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6.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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8.0The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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9.55Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.33North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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9.25Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 30.5% | 27.6% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 22.4% | 20.8% | 22.2% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 24.7% | 24.9% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Cole Barney | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 11.9% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 44.7% |
| David Rogers | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| William Duncan | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 27.5% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.