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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.74+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.50+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.58-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.21+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.83-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis2.13-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.60-3.00vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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3.99Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Los Angeles2.210.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Harrison | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.4% |
| Nick Dugdale | 16.8% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Vetter | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Mark Anders | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 23.2% |
| Jack Porter | 11.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Zachary Hester | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 26.2% |
| Cody Shevitz | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% |
| Patrick Soper | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.