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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+1.47vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.24+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.28+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Florida0.96+2.11vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.32vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-1.46vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.34+0.38vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.42-1.96vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.51-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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3.0Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
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2.73University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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4.75University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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6.32Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.15North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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9.38Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.04The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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9.5Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 30.7% | 25.3% | 22.5% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 21.7% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 25.2% | 25.0% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 3.6% |
| John Reddaway | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| David Rogers | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Cole Barney | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| William Duncan | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 24.2% | 40.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 10.2% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 24.0% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.