Race 11A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 10.2% 8.7% 9.3% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 9.9% 6.9% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.3%
Adam Larson 17.8% 17.6% 14.5% 12.8% 11.4% 8.8% 6.3% 4.2% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 13.8% 13.9% 13.4% 12.2% 11.4% 10.3% 7.2% 7.0% 4.8% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.1% 7.4% 6.4% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 9.4% 9.2% 8.5% 9.5% 8.2% 5.7% 2.9%
Connor Mraz 8.0% 8.6% 10.6% 11.3% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.1% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 3.0% 0.9%
matthew Monts 9.4% 10.0% 8.0% 9.9% 10.4% 7.6% 10.0% 9.3% 8.3% 7.5% 4.8% 3.8% 1.0%
Brian Fox 8.5% 8.4% 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 9.3% 8.0% 7.9% 9.0% 8.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1%
Valerio Palamara 7.9% 8.3% 9.3% 8.1% 8.6% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.2% 8.5% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5%
Kennedy Jones 3.2% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.0% 8.8% 9.9% 12.2% 14.3% 17.4%
Laura Smith 3.9% 4.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 5.0% 6.0% 7.9% 7.8% 11.1% 12.0% 14.4% 12.7%
Jasper Waldman 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 5.5% 4.7% 6.3% 7.2% 8.0% 9.7% 10.4% 12.6% 12.7% 10.1%
Joshua Almany 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 6.3% 8.6% 8.2% 12.8% 16.1% 21.9%
Parker Younger 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 7.6% 8.8% 11.8% 18.0% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.