Race 12A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 9.2% 8.6% 10.1% 9.7% 9.8% 11.1% 9.6% 9.8% 7.5% 6.3% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
Adam Larson 15.8% 17.2% 14.3% 12.6% 11.5% 9.2% 6.9% 4.9% 3.9% 2.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.6% 10.2% 10.3% 9.2% 9.3% 7.8% 6.5% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0%
Tanner Kelly 15.5% 12.9% 12.8% 11.8% 11.5% 8.6% 8.2% 6.2% 5.9% 4.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.8% 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 4.3% 4.2% 6.6% 8.0% 8.4% 9.3% 13.5% 15.1% 16.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.2% 7.1% 8.3% 7.0% 8.4% 8.2% 9.7% 8.8% 9.3% 8.9% 8.7% 5.5% 2.9%
Valerio Palamara 7.8% 10.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.1% 10.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 7.8% 6.0% 4.0% 1.2%
matthew Monts 10.5% 10.2% 10.4% 9.6% 9.6% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 7.9% 5.5% 4.5% 3.3% 0.7%
Parker Younger 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 5.5% 7.1% 9.4% 11.2% 17.2% 29.0%
Brian Fox 9.0% 8.9% 7.8% 9.8% 8.9% 8.2% 8.9% 8.3% 10.2% 7.2% 5.8% 4.9% 2.1%
Jasper Waldman 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 12.0% 12.8% 11.5% 11.9%
Joshua Almany 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 3.8% 5.4% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 10.4% 12.2% 16.8% 20.7%
Laura Smith 4.2% 4.2% 3.9% 5.5% 5.1% 5.1% 6.0% 7.4% 8.0% 10.2% 12.3% 15.4% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.