Race 13A

hanbury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 9.0% 9.9% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 9.4% 7.8% 10.6% 7.9% 6.3% 5.3% 3.3% 1.1%
Jasper Waldman 3.9% 4.5% 6.1% 5.3% 4.9% 6.3% 6.5% 7.6% 9.6% 10.5% 11.2% 12.9% 10.8%
Tanner Kelly 15.2% 13.7% 13.9% 11.5% 10.0% 9.0% 8.1% 6.5% 5.7% 3.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Brian Fox 7.4% 7.4% 8.8% 7.4% 10.0% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.6% 6.0% 4.4% 1.9%
matthew Monts 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 9.8% 8.9% 9.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 3.5% 1.4%
Valerio Palamara 8.2% 9.8% 9.7% 9.1% 9.2% 8.0% 10.2% 8.2% 8.6% 6.7% 6.7% 4.2% 1.6%
Parker Younger 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 3.1% 4.1% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 6.2% 9.2% 11.2% 17.1% 29.0%
Joshua Almany 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 3.5% 5.0% 5.7% 5.5% 8.3% 9.2% 12.8% 17.1% 21.0%
Stewart Gurnell 8.9% 9.3% 9.0% 10.8% 9.1% 10.2% 10.0% 9.8% 8.5% 6.2% 4.8% 2.6% 0.8%
Adam Larson 20.2% 15.3% 13.6% 12.2% 10.8% 8.9% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Laura Smith 2.9% 4.2% 3.9% 5.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.8% 7.1% 8.2% 12.0% 13.2% 13.7% 12.7%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.1% 7.6% 6.7% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 8.3% 8.5% 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 6.5% 2.8%
Kennedy Jones 2.6% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 5.9% 8.8% 11.2% 12.2% 13.8% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.