Race 7A

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ben Jassin 6.8% 9.2% 12.7% 18.6% 19.5% 14.7% 10.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Mac Mace 32.5% 25.5% 19.0% 13.0% 6.5% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Stocke 25.2% 24.4% 22.7% 15.7% 7.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.8% 3.4% 6.2% 8.7% 10.8% 16.0% 15.9% 17.7% 11.1% 5.7% 1.7%
Wesley Byrne 21.2% 24.2% 20.4% 14.6% 11.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Rogers 2.6% 4.8% 6.1% 8.1% 12.1% 16.1% 15.9% 14.5% 11.3% 6.6% 1.9%
Robert Marshall 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 8.1% 11.4% 14.2% 20.2% 19.7% 11.4%
Chris Gardiner 2.7% 2.3% 3.4% 6.5% 10.1% 13.9% 14.6% 15.1% 17.0% 10.9% 3.5%
Cole Barney 3.5% 3.0% 4.6% 7.9% 12.0% 11.5% 16.9% 16.6% 13.3% 6.8% 3.9%
William Duncan 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.7% 4.4% 6.7% 8.1% 13.1% 25.4% 35.7%
Ryan Clarke 0.7% 0.1% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 3.8% 4.8% 7.7% 12.0% 24.1% 41.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.