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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+1.67vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+0.44vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.28+0.68vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.64vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.42+1.00vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Florida0.96-1.84vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.34-0.70vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.51-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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2.44College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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3.11Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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6.27Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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8.0The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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6.22North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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9.3Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.51Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 26.6% | 25.1% | 21.7% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 33.1% | 25.8% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 18.7% | 20.1% | 23.4% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Cole Barney | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 10.9% |
| David Rogers | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| William Duncan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 25.2% | 36.2% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 23.5% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.