Race 14A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 8.9% 8.4% 8.3% 6.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.3%
Valerio Palamara 9.4% 8.3% 9.8% 8.7% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 8.6% 8.2% 7.3% 6.5% 3.8% 1.9%
Brian Fox 6.4% 8.7% 8.5% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 8.8% 10.2% 8.2% 8.0% 6.9% 4.2% 2.3%
Laura Smith 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 3.6% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 9.7% 9.8% 12.4% 13.1% 14.7%
Parker Younger 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 3.2% 4.1% 4.1% 5.9% 5.5% 9.6% 11.7% 17.6% 27.7%
matthew Monts 9.8% 8.8% 10.2% 9.7% 10.0% 9.3% 9.8% 8.5% 8.1% 6.9% 4.8% 3.3% 0.9%
Stewart Gurnell 9.2% 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 8.7% 9.9% 8.6% 8.9% 6.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 9.6% 9.3% 9.7% 9.2% 7.0% 5.6% 2.7%
Adam Larson 17.3% 17.2% 14.6% 12.7% 9.6% 8.6% 7.1% 5.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Jasper Waldman 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 6.6% 7.9% 8.8% 10.2% 11.7% 13.9% 10.2%
Joshua Almany 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.2% 3.7% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 7.6% 10.4% 12.4% 15.6% 21.3%
Tanner Kelly 15.3% 14.5% 12.0% 11.7% 11.5% 9.5% 8.5% 6.2% 4.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 4.3% 3.2% 3.5% 5.0% 3.6% 4.9% 5.4% 7.1% 8.4% 10.8% 12.6% 15.8% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.