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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+2.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.28+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Florida0.96+2.10vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.34vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-1.49vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.42-0.86vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.34-0.70vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.51-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
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2.44College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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2.71University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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4.74University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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6.34Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.14North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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8.14The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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9.3Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.52Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 19.7% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 32.5% | 26.6% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 25.1% | 25.2% | 22.1% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| John Reddaway | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| David Rogers | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Cole Barney | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 11.9% |
| William Duncan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 37.3% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 23.5% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.