Race 1B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Asher Green 10.4% 11.0% 11.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.5% 9.2% 7.0% 6.8% 6.5% 4.3% 3.0% 1.1%
Robert Ziman 9.7% 10.8% 8.8% 9.0% 10.3% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 7.6% 6.0% 6.2% 3.4% 1.6%
Isabella du Plessis 12.6% 11.5% 11.2% 10.9% 9.6% 9.9% 7.8% 7.8% 6.4% 5.7% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Matt Averyt 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 2.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 8.4% 10.5% 16.2% 31.2%
Stefano Palamara 12.2% 10.9% 10.5% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 8.5% 8.1% 6.8% 5.8% 3.9% 3.0% 1.2%
Tyler Brown 8.9% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 9.5% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 7.8% 7.4% 7.6% 5.7% 2.9%
Joshua Bendura 8.3% 7.9% 9.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 10.3% 6.7% 6.2% 3.9% 2.5%
Jonathan Kelly 4.3% 4.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 5.0% 6.9% 8.5% 8.6% 8.7% 11.2% 13.4% 13.6%
Caroline Sandoval 5.4% 6.7% 6.4% 5.5% 6.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 9.8% 9.1% 10.4% 10.3% 7.0%
Griffin Richardson 9.2% 10.4% 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 8.5% 7.6% 8.2% 7.1% 7.5% 6.2% 5.5% 2.2%
Grace Watlington 8.2% 6.8% 9.2% 8.0% 7.5% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7%
Richard Kertatos 2.5% 3.0% 3.3% 4.4% 4.1% 5.1% 4.8% 6.5% 5.1% 9.7% 10.8% 15.8% 24.8%
Joseph Bonacci 5.0% 6.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.2% 6.9% 7.5% 7.8% 8.9% 9.8% 10.5% 11.9% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.