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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+0.64vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+0.10vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.45vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.38+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.28-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-0.58vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.42+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Florida0.96-1.86vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.34-0.70vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.51-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48College of Charleston3.640.3%1st Place
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2.64University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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3.1Eckerd College3.240.2%1st Place
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6.45Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.28North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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6.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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8.07The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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9.3Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.5Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 29.1% | 27.0% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 27.6% | 25.9% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 19.3% | 19.9% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| David Rogers | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cole Barney | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 12.5% |
| Chris Gardiner | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| William Duncan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 23.9% | 36.6% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 24.5% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.