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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.94+4.97vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+3.25vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+3.10vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+2.39vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.90+1.22vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72-0.66vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.84-1.29vs Predicted
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8Washington College-1.01+0.50vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.19-1.14vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.52-0.08vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.28-1.64vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54-4.36vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.65-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy0.9410.0%1st Place
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5.25North Carolina State University1.0913.1%1st Place
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6.1Christopher Newport University0.739.7%1st Place
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6.39Hampton University0.588.0%1st Place
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6.22Eckerd College0.909.2%1st Place
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5.34Hampton University0.7211.7%1st Place
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5.71Princeton University0.8410.2%1st Place
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8.5Washington College-1.014.5%1st Place
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7.86Washington College0.195.4%1st Place
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9.92Virginia Tech-0.522.1%1st Place
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9.36Princeton University-0.283.4%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University0.544.9%1st Place
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6.73Christopher Newport University0.658.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Asher Green | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Matt Averyt | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 32.1% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 23.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.