Race 3B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Sandoval 5.2% 5.2% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.4% 10.1% 8.5%
Griffin Richardson 8.6% 9.7% 9.5% 10.0% 8.5% 9.4% 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 7.0% 5.7% 4.2% 2.3%
Stefano Palamara 11.2% 11.9% 11.6% 9.8% 10.9% 8.8% 8.8% 6.9% 5.8% 6.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.9%
Isabella du Plessis 13.2% 11.7% 11.4% 10.0% 10.8% 10.0% 8.9% 6.7% 6.4% 5.0% 3.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Robert Ziman 10.7% 10.6% 8.4% 9.2% 8.1% 9.7% 8.3% 8.6% 8.2% 6.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.6%
Tyler Brown 8.3% 7.0% 8.7% 8.5% 8.9% 8.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 6.1% 6.1% 3.0%
Joseph Bonacci 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 6.5% 6.4% 6.1% 7.2% 7.3% 9.2% 8.6% 13.0% 11.2% 8.9%
Asher Green 11.2% 11.2% 10.4% 9.6% 8.4% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 6.7% 6.8% 4.4% 3.5% 1.6%
Richard Kertatos 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 6.5% 7.3% 8.0% 11.3% 16.7% 24.1%
Grace Watlington 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.6% 7.9% 8.6% 8.9% 7.8% 9.0% 7.9% 7.0% 5.8% 3.8%
Joshua Bendura 9.2% 9.7% 9.7% 8.8% 9.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.6% 7.6% 7.5% 6.6% 4.1% 1.9%
Jonathan Kelly 4.5% 3.6% 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 5.9% 6.7% 8.2% 8.0% 9.8% 10.4% 14.3% 13.4%
Matt Averyt 2.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 5.8% 6.0% 7.8% 10.2% 16.8% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.