Race 2B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tony Collins 10.2% 13.5% 16.5% 19.1% 17.6% 13.5% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 21.9% 24.3% 20.2% 14.6% 11.4% 5.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Banholzer 38.2% 29.5% 17.3% 9.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 11.1% 13.3% 18.7% 17.2% 16.8% 12.3% 7.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Joel Hurley 2.1% 1.7% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 8.9% 12.8% 17.6% 20.1% 18.7% 6.7%
Tamara Greak 8.0% 7.6% 12.6% 15.6% 16.6% 16.0% 11.4% 8.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Allison Gray 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 5.6% 7.9% 12.9% 18.1% 19.6% 14.3% 8.9% 3.0%
Marten Kendrick 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 8.9% 11.4% 17.5% 17.5% 16.1% 11.5% 4.2% 1.4%
Ben Brightwell 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 5.2% 7.5% 12.2% 25.4% 42.0%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.2% 2.2% 1.7% 4.4% 5.6% 7.1% 13.9% 18.5% 22.3% 16.4% 6.7%
James Lemmon 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.9% 5.4% 7.5% 14.0% 25.6% 40.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.