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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.94+4.88vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+4.53vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.54+4.70vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+2.27vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65+0.63vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-0.84vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-2.79vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.19-1.05vs Predicted
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10Washington College-1.01-1.43vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.28-1.63vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84-6.34vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.52-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy0.9410.2%1st Place
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6.53Hampton University0.588.3%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University0.546.2%1st Place
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6.27Eckerd College0.908.6%1st Place
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5.25Hampton University0.7213.1%1st Place
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6.63Christopher Newport University0.657.8%1st Place
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6.16Christopher Newport University0.738.8%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University1.0911.5%1st Place
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7.95Washington College0.194.7%1st Place
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8.57Washington College-1.014.8%1st Place
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9.37Princeton University-0.283.2%1st Place
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5.66Princeton University0.8410.4%1st Place
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9.82Virginia Tech-0.522.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.6% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 22.9% |
| Asher Green | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Matt Averyt | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.