Race 5B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Asher Green 10.0% 10.7% 10.9% 10.0% 10.3% 9.4% 9.8% 7.8% 6.8% 5.9% 4.0% 3.1% 1.4%
Tyler Brown 8.2% 8.6% 8.1% 8.2% 9.5% 9.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.1% 7.8% 7.1% 6.0% 2.9%
Isabella du Plessis 11.9% 11.5% 12.4% 11.6% 8.8% 8.3% 8.3% 7.8% 6.3% 4.9% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9%
Richard Kertatos 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 7.7% 8.4% 11.5% 17.0% 23.9%
Joshua Bendura 9.8% 7.9% 9.2% 9.1% 9.9% 8.5% 9.1% 8.2% 8.1% 7.3% 5.5% 4.8% 2.6%
Griffin Richardson 9.3% 10.4% 8.0% 10.1% 9.4% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 6.5% 4.8% 1.7%
Caroline Sandoval 5.5% 5.2% 7.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 8.1% 8.9% 8.8% 10.1% 11.5% 9.7% 7.1%
Grace Watlington 7.5% 8.8% 7.2% 9.5% 9.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 7.0% 4.8% 4.0%
Matt Averyt 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 4.7% 6.2% 5.9% 8.8% 10.2% 16.3% 30.0%
Joseph Bonacci 4.7% 6.4% 6.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.3% 8.0% 6.5% 9.6% 10.1% 10.8% 11.1% 8.3%
Stefano Palamara 13.3% 11.3% 10.4% 9.7% 9.6% 10.0% 7.8% 8.2% 6.3% 5.5% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
Jonathan Kelly 4.3% 4.2% 4.9% 5.7% 5.1% 6.3% 5.5% 7.3% 8.6% 8.6% 11.2% 13.7% 14.6%
Robert Ziman 9.7% 10.1% 9.7% 8.2% 8.3% 10.2% 9.3% 9.3% 7.9% 6.3% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.