Race 3B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 40.0% 26.6% 18.1% 9.8% 4.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 21.8% 24.3% 20.7% 14.4% 10.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 10.4% 13.0% 16.6% 18.6% 16.9% 12.7% 8.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 11.2% 14.0% 16.9% 19.1% 17.1% 11.6% 6.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Tamara Greak 7.6% 10.0% 12.0% 16.5% 15.9% 15.3% 12.8% 7.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 3.9% 5.7% 7.1% 11.6% 16.1% 17.6% 16.2% 11.0% 6.9% 1.1%
Allison Gray 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 8.9% 14.1% 16.3% 18.9% 16.7% 8.5% 2.9%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 3.8% 4.5% 8.9% 14.4% 18.2% 20.1% 16.7% 8.2%
Ben Brightwell 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.7% 4.2% 8.1% 13.1% 26.0% 40.8%
James Lemmon 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 5.4% 7.3% 13.6% 24.8% 41.1%
Joel Hurley 1.0% 1.6% 3.0% 4.5% 6.6% 9.3% 11.9% 18.7% 21.3% 16.3% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.