Race 4B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 40.5% 27.1% 16.5% 10.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 12.6% 13.9% 20.4% 17.3% 14.4% 12.4% 5.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 18.9% 23.0% 21.5% 17.0% 10.9% 5.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 11.1% 14.4% 14.9% 19.8% 16.9% 12.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Tamara Greak 7.9% 10.0% 11.7% 15.0% 18.4% 14.3% 13.4% 6.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 2.7% 3.9% 5.3% 7.2% 11.0% 17.7% 17.7% 17.0% 10.6% 5.9% 1.0%
Allison Gray 2.8% 3.7% 3.8% 3.9% 9.6% 12.8% 17.7% 19.4% 17.0% 7.3% 2.0%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 5.2% 9.4% 14.6% 18.9% 22.7% 15.5% 5.6%
Scott Bidwell 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.8% 2.9% 5.2% 8.9% 20.5% 57.9%
James Lemmon 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 2.3% 3.2% 5.3% 7.9% 14.2% 35.5% 29.1%
Joel Hurley 1.0% 1.4% 2.9% 4.4% 6.9% 9.0% 13.8% 18.9% 22.8% 14.6% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.