Race 6B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Isabella du Plessis 13.6% 10.7% 13.3% 11.2% 9.2% 10.6% 7.8% 7.0% 6.1% 4.8% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8%
Asher Green 11.2% 10.7% 10.6% 11.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.1% 6.9% 7.3% 6.9% 4.7% 3.5% 1.7%
Robert Ziman 11.4% 10.1% 9.7% 8.2% 10.8% 8.5% 8.6% 7.5% 7.7% 6.5% 5.1% 4.2% 1.8%
Joseph Bonacci 4.5% 5.4% 5.5% 6.0% 5.5% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 8.6% 8.9% 11.5% 11.9% 9.0%
Caroline Sandoval 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 6.4% 7.4% 8.1% 9.2% 10.0% 10.8% 9.5% 7.4%
Jonathan Kelly 4.2% 4.5% 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.8% 9.8% 11.6% 12.9% 13.8%
Stefano Palamara 12.4% 11.2% 10.1% 9.7% 10.5% 8.8% 7.3% 8.8% 7.3% 6.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8%
Griffin Richardson 8.5% 8.8% 9.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.1% 9.9% 9.6% 8.3% 6.3% 6.6% 5.0% 1.8%
Matt Averyt 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 6.5% 7.3% 10.3% 16.7% 29.3%
Grace Watlington 7.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 8.5% 8.4% 8.8% 8.9% 7.7% 9.3% 7.5% 6.8% 3.9%
Joshua Bendura 8.4% 9.8% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.7% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 7.6% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0%
Richard Kertatos 3.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 8.8% 10.3% 15.2% 24.7%
Tyler Brown 7.4% 9.2% 8.5% 9.1% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 8.1% 7.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.