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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-1.01+2.58vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.44-0.03vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.38+0.96vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-2.11vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.12vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.11-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Penn State University-1.018.2%1st Place
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1.97Queen's University0.4438.2%1st Place
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3.96Syracuse University-1.386.5%1st Place
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1.89Rochester Institute of Technology0.4941.2%1st Place
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4.88Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.252.5%1st Place
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4.72Mercyhurst University-2.113.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Mascia | 8.2% | 11.3% | 26.7% | 28.9% | 17.2% | 7.6% |
| Elle Pirie | 38.2% | 36.5% | 17.4% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 6.5% | 7.4% | 20.2% | 28.2% | 24.1% | 13.5% |
| Cole Bender | 41.2% | 36.4% | 15.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 2.5% | 3.3% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 26.8% | 42.8% |
| Tabea Wieland | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 29.3% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.