Race 2B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Abby Featherstone 9.2% 11.8% 10.4% 11.9% 11.5% 13.1% 11.5% 9.0% 7.5% 3.4% 0.7%
Sara Morgan Watters 27.4% 21.7% 14.8% 12.8% 8.8% 7.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Kathryn Metscher 6.3% 6.8% 8.9% 6.9% 11.2% 7.6% 12.3% 13.0% 12.7% 11.7% 2.6%
Mary Cummins 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.7% 4.3% 5.9% 6.7% 10.2% 13.8% 32.1% 14.5%
Morgan Wilson 12.1% 12.6% 13.2% 11.3% 11.0% 11.1% 10.5% 7.4% 7.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Emily Billing 11.0% 11.8% 10.7% 12.5% 11.0% 10.3% 11.2% 10.2% 7.4% 2.7% 1.2%
Francesca Ferrero 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 2.3% 1.3% 3.1% 5.0% 11.5% 70.4%
Sara Burke 6.3% 5.8% 6.8% 9.6% 8.7% 12.3% 10.2% 10.6% 14.3% 11.9% 3.5%
Emilie Mademann 7.1% 7.3% 8.7% 8.9% 10.7% 9.7% 12.7% 10.8% 12.0% 9.2% 2.9%
Lauren Burke 7.9% 7.4% 9.3% 7.4% 9.9% 9.9% 8.7% 14.0% 12.5% 10.7% 2.3%
Corey Hall 10.2% 11.0% 12.6% 12.2% 11.4% 10.3% 11.1% 9.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.