← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.70+0.91vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.16+0.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.64-0.16vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-1.00-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91University of Wisconsin0.7041.4%1st Place
-
2.06Northwestern University0.1634.1%1st Place
-
2.84University of Michigan-0.6414.4%1st Place
-
3.2Purdue University-1.0010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 41.4% | 32.8% | 19.4% | 6.4% |
| Grace Bray | 34.1% | 34.4% | 23.0% | 8.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 14.4% | 19.8% | 33.7% | 32.2% |
| Kellie Keane | 10.2% | 13.0% | 23.9% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.