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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.83+4.44vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.58+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.21+1.87vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.60-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis2.13-0.91vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.74-3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.92-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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3.96Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Los Angeles2.210.1%1st Place
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5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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5.68Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Porter | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Nick Dugdale | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Vetter | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Mark Anders | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 23.1% |
| Patrick Soper | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Cody Shevitz | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 26.6% |
| Samuel Harrison | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Zachary Hester | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.