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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+5.43vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+3.25vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+2.35vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84+1.69vs Predicted
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5Washington College-1.01+3.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.94-0.07vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54+0.70vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.28+1.31vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73-2.92vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.90-3.85vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.19-3.01vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-5.23vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.52-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Hampton University0.588.9%1st Place
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5.25North Carolina State University1.0911.9%1st Place
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5.35Hampton University0.7212.1%1st Place
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5.69Princeton University0.8411.4%1st Place
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8.57Washington College-1.014.3%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy0.949.6%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University0.545.9%1st Place
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9.31Princeton University-0.282.9%1st Place
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6.08Christopher Newport University0.739.6%1st Place
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6.15Eckerd College0.909.3%1st Place
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7.99Washington College0.194.8%1st Place
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6.77Christopher Newport University0.656.6%1st Place
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9.79Virginia Tech-0.522.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Asher Green | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.9% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 22.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Matt Averyt | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.