Race 5B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Hecht 10.8% 14.9% 16.2% 19.7% 18.5% 11.4% 5.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Banholzer 40.4% 28.2% 17.0% 9.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 3.3% 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 10.3% 17.0% 19.4% 17.4% 12.2% 4.6% 1.0%
Christopher Stocke 19.9% 22.9% 20.8% 16.8% 10.5% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tamara Greak 7.6% 9.9% 11.9% 14.2% 18.6% 16.4% 11.5% 6.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Tony Collins 11.7% 13.2% 17.7% 19.3% 16.6% 10.6% 6.6% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.5% 3.2% 2.2% 3.5% 4.9% 9.7% 12.6% 18.6% 23.2% 15.4% 5.2%
Allison Gray 2.6% 1.9% 3.7% 7.0% 7.3% 13.4% 19.2% 17.7% 17.2% 7.7% 2.3%
James Lemmon 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 3.5% 4.2% 8.4% 12.6% 34.7% 31.9%
Scott Bidwell 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 4.9% 9.3% 22.8% 55.1%
Joel Hurley 1.3% 1.8% 3.6% 3.1% 6.5% 8.5% 15.5% 19.5% 21.5% 14.2% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.