Race 6B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 40.4% 25.7% 17.6% 11.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 11.4% 13.7% 16.9% 20.2% 15.8% 12.8% 6.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 18.7% 23.4% 21.5% 15.6% 11.3% 5.9% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 3.0% 3.2% 4.3% 7.1% 11.1% 16.8% 18.9% 18.4% 11.5% 4.9% 0.8%
Tamara Greak 7.8% 9.8% 11.8% 13.1% 19.5% 16.5% 12.5% 5.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Allison Gray 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 5.3% 7.2% 14.4% 19.1% 18.0% 16.9% 8.3% 2.4%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.2% 3.1% 2.6% 2.9% 5.0% 9.2% 13.5% 20.4% 22.1% 13.9% 6.1%
Scott Bidwell 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 5.4% 9.5% 24.7% 52.9%
James Lemmon 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 4.9% 7.7% 12.9% 33.8% 33.2%
Joel Hurley 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 6.2% 8.8% 14.1% 19.9% 22.7% 13.9% 4.6%
Matthew Hecht 13.3% 15.2% 17.6% 19.0% 17.1% 10.3% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.