← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy0.94+4.86vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.84+3.73vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.09+2.16vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.58+2.54vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.19+2.89vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.73+0.24vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College0.90-0.87vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.28+1.22vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University0.54-1.22vs Predicted
-
10Washington College-1.01-1.50vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.72-5.54vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.65-5.26vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech-0.52-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.86U. S. Naval Academy0.9410.7%1st Place
-
5.73Princeton University0.8411.1%1st Place
-
5.16North Carolina State University1.0911.9%1st Place
-
6.54Hampton University0.587.8%1st Place
-
7.89Washington College0.195.1%1st Place
-
6.24Christopher Newport University0.739.2%1st Place
-
6.13Eckerd College0.909.8%1st Place
-
9.22Princeton University-0.283.4%1st Place
-
7.78Fordham University0.544.6%1st Place
-
8.5Washington College-1.014.5%1st Place
-
5.46Hampton University0.7212.4%1st Place
-
6.74Christopher Newport University0.657.0%1st Place
-
9.76Virginia Tech-0.522.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Asher Green | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 22.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Matt Averyt | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.